Quality Assessment of Demographic Data in the WHO MONICA Project
Table 4.
Results of modelling of population dynamics.
(see Index for other MCCs)
| MCC = 17: Sino-MONICA-Beijing RU 1: Beijing MEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 84 | 40890 0 | 32153 0 | 22972 -0 | 20746 1 | 27532 0 | 25417 -0 | 18341 -0 | 12568 0 | 8685 -1 | 6350 -0 | 1 | C |
| 85 | 41794 -0 | 36000 -0 | 23725 -0 | 20204 -0 | 26396 0 | 26882 -0 | 19987 -1 | 13482 0 | 9170 -0 | 6390 -0 | 1 | C |
| 86 | 40627 -0 | 38412 0 | 25077 1 | 20417 -0 | 25124 -1 | 28007 -0 | 20640 1 | 14421 -0 | 9627 -1 | 6752 0 | 1 | C |
| 87 | 40984 0 | 41432 -0 | 27894 -0 | 20729 -0 | 23481 -1 | 28837 -0 | 21970 -1 | 15375 -0 | 10405 -1 | 7070 -1 | 1 | C |
| 88 | 42571 -1 | 42334 -0 | 31000 -2 | 21567 -0 | 21598 1 | 28080 0 | 23008 -1 | 16087 -0 | 10736 -1 | 7204 1 | 2 | C |
| 89 | 41673 -0 | 40966 -0 | 33514 -1 | 23156 -1 | 20892 -1 | 27286 -1 | 24393 -1 | 17188 -0 | 11244 -1 | 7292 0 | 1 | C |
| 90 | 40252 -1 | 40975 -2 | 35622 -1 | 23614 -1 | 19220 -1 | 25194 -1 | 24983 -1 | 18313 -1 | 11637 -1 | 7410 -0 | 2 | C |
| 91 | 34486 1 | 36021 2 | 35006 1 | 23552 1 | 18137 2 | 21289 2 | 23665 2 | 18556 -0 | 11500 1 | 7068 2 | 2 | C |
| 92 | 31168 0 | 36764 -1 | 37083 -1 | 24606 -1 | 18680 -1 | 20281 0 | 24579 -1 | 17945 -0 | 12526 -1 | 7615 -0 | 1 | C |
| 93 | 30137 -0 | 35389 2 | 35886 1 | 23783 3 | 18110 2 | 19572 0 | 23577 1 | 17204 3 | 12035 3 | 7359 3 | 3 | C |
| Max | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 84-85 | 0 | 1 | -0 | 1 | 1 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -2 | -0 | 2 | C |
| 85-86 | -0 | 0 | -0 | 0 | 1 | -0 | -2 | 0 | -3 | -1 | 3 | C |
| 86-87 | -1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | -1 | -5 | -1 | 5 | C |
| 87-88 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -0 | -3 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -6 | -4 | 6 | C |
| 88-89 | -3 | -0 | -2 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -3 | -2 | -7 | -2 | 7 | C |
| 89-90 | -2 | -2 | -4 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -5 | -3 | -7 | -4 | 7 | C |
| 90-91 | -5 | -6 | -7 | -5 | -5 | -7 | -7 | -5 | -9 | -6 | 9 | C |
| 91-92 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -4 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -6 | -5 | -4 | 6 | C |
| 92-93 | -0 | -4 | -4 | -7 | -3 | -1 | -4 | -7 | -7 | -6 | 7 | C |
| Max | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 9 | |
| MCC = 17: Sino-MONICA-Beijing RU 1: Beijing WOMEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 84 | 41400 1 | 33990 1 | 24105 1 | 23658 0 | 29514 1 | 23155 1 | 16654 0 | 12158 0 | 8729 -0 | 6982 0 | 1 | C |
| 85 | 43075 -1 | 38962 -1 | 26355 -1 | 24103 0 | 29920 -1 | 25405 -1 | 18441 -1 | 13193 -0 | 9088 -0 | 7030 -0 | 1 | C |
| 86 | 41245 -0 | 40994 0 | 27396 1 | 23645 -1 | 28797 -0 | 27469 -0 | 19713 -0 | 13788 -0 | 9560 -0 | 7171 0 | 1 | C |
| 87 | 41646 0 | 43201 -0 | 29669 0 | 23538 -0 | 27266 -1 | 28708 0 | 20331 0 | 14662 0 | 10168 -1 | 7442 -0 | 1 | C |
| 88 | 42698 -1 | 43051 0 | 32251 -1 | 23944 -0 | 25067 1 | 29274 -0 | 21636 -0 | 15147 -1 | 10603 -0 | 7699 1 | 1 | C |
| 89 | 41565 1 | 41762 -0 | 34913 -0 | 24673 -0 | 23608 1 | 29266 -0 | 22798 -1 | 15812 -0 | 11085 -0 | 7839 0 | 1 | C |
| 90 | 43204 -2 | 41272 -2 | 37006 -1 | 25180 -1 | 25103 -3 | 28129 -1 | 23124 -1 | 16329 -1 | 11398 -1 | 7940 -0 | 3 | C |
| 91 | 35035 1 | 36059 2 | 35390 2 | 24751 1 | 20257 3 | 24547 2 | 22271 2 | 15834 1 | 11003 1 | 7635 1 | 3 | C |
| 92 | 30797 1 | 37632 -1 | 38667 -1 | 25867 -1 | 20737 -0 | 23392 -0 | 23956 -1 | 16709 -1 | 11807 -2 | 8032 -1 | 2 | C |
| 93 | 29729 -0 | 36301 1 | 37553 0 | 25079 2 | 20084 1 | 22574 0 | 22907 2 | 15913 2 | 10551 3 | 7798 2 | 3 | C |
| Max | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 84-85 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 4 | C |
| 85-86 | -1 | -1 | -2 | 3 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 3 | C |
| 86-87 | -2 | -1 | 2 | -1 | -0 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -3 | -0 | 3 | C |
| 87-88 | -0 | -1 | 1 | -1 | -3 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -5 | -2 | 5 | C |
| 88-89 | -3 | 0 | -3 | -1 | 0 | -2 | -2 | -4 | -5 | -1 | 5 | C |
| 89-90 | 0 | -1 | -4 | -2 | 2 | -3 | -5 | -6 | -6 | -2 | 6 | C |
| 90-91 | -7 | -7 | -8 | -7 | -9 | -8 | -9 | -9 | -8 | -5 | 9 | C |
| 91-92 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | -4 | -3 | 4 | C |
| 92-93 | 0 | -4 | -3 | -7 | -3 | -1 | -6 | -8 | -10 | -6 | 10 | C |
| Max | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 10 | |