Quality Assessment of Demographic Data in the WHO MONICA Project
Table 4.
Results of modelling of population dynamics.
(see Index for other MCCs)
| MCC = 24: Bremen RU 1: Bremen North/West MEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 6833 -2 | 5867 -0 | 6225 0 | 8369 -1 | 7692 -2 | 5589 -0 | 5272 -2 | 4473 -2 | 3338 -3 | 4310 -0 | 3 | R |
| 84 | 7024 -1 | 5662 1 | 6038 0 | 7941 -0 | 7959 -1 | 5547 0 | 5428 -1 | 4607 -1 | 2932 -1 | 4273 0 | 1 | R |
| 85 | 7195 -0 | 5609 2 | 6072 1 | 7320 0 | 8080 0 | 5690 0 | 5530 -1 | 4546 -0 | 2952 -1 | 4090 0 | 2 | R |
| 86 | 7335 0 | 5737 2 | 6153 0 | 6853 -0 | 8256 -0 | 5913 1 | 5587 -1 | 4437 -0 | 3215 0 | 3764 0 | 2 | R |
| 87 | 7425 1 | 6037 1 | 6170 -0 | 6524 0 | 8129 0 | 6438 1 | 5485 -0 | 4491 1 | 3608 -1 | 3299 0 | 1 | R |
| 88 | 7631 1 | 6415 2 | 6187 -1 | 6316 0 | 7902 1 | 7049 1 | 5295 -0 | 4694 1 | 3990 -1 | 2795 3 | 3 | R |
| 89 | 8056 1 | 6869 1 | 6266 -1 | 6277 -0 | 7718 -0 | 7435 0 | 5312 -1 | 4899 0 | 4120 -1 | 2500 2 | 2 | R |
| 90 | 8545 -0 | 7397 -1 | 6438 -2 | 6436 -0 | 7286 -0 | 7728 -0 | 5508 -1 | 5033 0 | 4059 -2 | 2545 1 | 2 | R |
| 91 | 8936 -1 | 7761 -1 | 6561 -2 | 6519 -0 | 6797 -0 | 7948 -0 | 5802 -1 | 5078 -0 | 3966 -2 | 2798 0 | 2 | R |
| 92 | 9255 -0 | 8044 -1 | 6688 -1 | 6468 0 | 6526 -0 | 7916 -0 | 6233 -1 | 5016 0 | 3973 -1 | 3053 1 | 1 | R |
| 93 | 9348 -0 | 8232 -1 | 6866 0 | 6398 0 | 6339 -1 | 7712 -0 | 6691 1 | 4858 0 | 4107 0 | 3263 2 | 2 | R |
| 94 | 9075 0 | 8395 -1 | 7053 0 | 6331 0 | 6202 -0 | 7442 0 | 7018 0 | 4857 0 | 4286 0 | 3330 2 | 2 | R |
| 95 | 8695 -0 | 8538 0 | 7287 1 | 6327 -0 | 6302 -0 | 6963 0 | 7260 0 | 5015 1 | 4407 1 | 3289 2 | 2 | R |
| 96 | 8262 0 | 8672 1 | 7513 1 | 6345 0 | 6387 0 | 6468 1 | 7454 1 | 5269 1 | 4451 2 | 3256 2 | 2 | R |
| Max | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -2 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -0 | 2 | R |
| 84-85 | -2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2 | -0 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -0 | 3 | R |
| 85-86 | -2 | 1 | 1 | -0 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -1 | 3 | R |
| 86-87 | -1 | 2 | 1 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -2 | 3 | R |
| 87-88 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -3 | 3 | R |
| 88-89 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -1 | 3 | R |
| 89-90 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -4 | -1 | 4 | R |
| 90-91 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -4 | -1 | 4 | R |
| 91-92 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -5 | -2 | 5 | R |
| 92-93 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -4 | -3 | 4 | R |
| 93-94 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -3 | 3 | R |
| 94-95 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -2 | 2 | R |
| 95-96 | -0 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 2 | R |
| Max | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | |
| MCC = 24: Bremen RU 1: Bremen North/West WOMEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 6392 -2 | 5847 0 | 5808 -1 | 7437 -1 | 6960 -2 | 5805 1 | 6765 -1 | 6978 -2 | 5148 -2 | 6969 -0 | 2 | R |
| 84 | 6506 -1 | 5740 1 | 5712 -0 | 7045 -1 | 7238 -1 | 5641 1 | 6696 -1 | 7185 -1 | 4558 -1 | 6999 0 | 1 | R |
| 85 | 6564 1 | 5715 2 | 5747 0 | 6519 0 | 7379 -1 | 5672 1 | 6605 -1 | 7063 -1 | 4547 -0 | 6889 -0 | 2 | R |
| 86 | 6671 1 | 5771 2 | 5849 1 | 6071 -0 | 7443 -0 | 5776 1 | 6436 -2 | 6792 -1 | 5027 1 | 6455 0 | 2 | R |
| 87 | 6845 1 | 5894 1 | 5900 1 | 5773 0 | 7303 0 | 6153 1 | 6135 -1 | 6523 0 | 5824 -1 | 5608 0 | 1 | R |
| 88 | 7086 1 | 6115 2 | 5944 0 | 5650 1 | 7055 1 | 6635 1 | 5811 -1 | 6330 1 | 6526 -0 | 4763 2 | 2 | R |
| 89 | 7454 0 | 6450 1 | 6027 -1 | 5705 0 | 6827 0 | 6938 1 | 5707 -1 | 6269 1 | 6760 -1 | 4284 1 | 1 | R |
| 90 | 7859 -1 | 6813 -1 | 6141 -1 | 5893 -0 | 6448 -0 | 7149 0 | 5761 -1 | 6237 0 | 6633 -1 | 4327 0 | 1 | R |
| 91 | 8131 -1 | 7041 -1 | 6226 -1 | 6105 -1 | 6027 -0 | 7279 -0 | 5897 -2 | 6080 0 | 6361 -1 | 4844 -0 | 2 | R |
| 92 | 8286 0 | 7255 -1 | 6325 -1 | 6193 -1 | 5810 -0 | 7235 -0 | 6161 -1 | 5869 1 | 6163 -0 | 5444 1 | 1 | R |
| 93 | 8298 -0 | 7463 -1 | 6487 -0 | 6186 -0 | 5747 -0 | 7038 0 | 6500 1 | 5651 -0 | 6045 -0 | 5936 3 | 3 | R |
| 94 | 8235 -0 | 7594 -0 | 6678 0 | 6168 -0 | 5754 0 | 6769 0 | 6786 1 | 5540 -0 | 5974 0 | 6173 2 | 2 | R |
| 95 | 8060 -0 | 7749 1 | 6846 0 | 6184 -0 | 5898 0 | 6363 0 | 6976 1 | 5551 0 | 5929 1 | 6053 2 | 2 | R |
| 96 | 7746 0 | 7841 1 | 6977 0 | 6260 -1 | 6114 -0 | 5951 0 | 7122 0 | 5659 1 | 5773 2 | 5801 3 | 3 | R |
| Max | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -1 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 84-85 | -1 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 85-86 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 86-87 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 87-88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| 88-89 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 89-90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 90-91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -0 | 2 | R |
| 91-92 | -0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 2 | R |
| 92-93 | -0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| 93-94 | -0 | -0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| 94-95 | -0 | -0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| 95-96 | -0 | -0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| Max | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| MCC = 24: Bremen RU 2: Bremen Center/South/East MEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 13183 -2 | 12369 -1 | 11520 1 | 15322 -1 | 13453 -2 | 9442 -0 | 8461 -1 | 7449 -3 | 5220 -3 | 6954 -0 | 3 | R |
| 84 | 12969 -0 | 12258 -0 | 11324 1 | 14764 -1 | 14052 -1 | 9355 0 | 8946 -1 | 7650 -2 | 4579 -1 | 6959 0 | 2 | R |
| 85 | 12883 1 | 12091 0 | 11521 1 | 13805 -0 | 14457 0 | 9686 0 | 9251 -1 | 7557 -1 | 4559 0 | 6751 -0 | 1 | R |
| 86 | 12916 2 | 12065 1 | 11889 1 | 12839 -1 | 14822 0 | 10256 1 | 9327 -1 | 7412 -0 | 4963 1 | 6283 0 | 2 | R |
| 87 | 13281 2 | 12256 1 | 12226 0 | 12198 -0 | 14773 0 | 11388 1 | 9268 -0 | 7373 0 | 5771 -0 | 5472 0 | 2 | R |
| 88 | 13893 1 | 12628 1 | 12400 0 | 11860 -1 | 14503 1 | 12688 0 | 9074 -0 | 7653 0 | 6502 -0 | 4590 3 | 3 | R |
| 89 | 14780 1 | 13194 -0 | 12381 0 | 11874 -1 | 14191 0 | 13518 -0 | 9105 -1 | 8131 0 | 6716 -1 | 4124 1 | 1 | R |
| 90 | 15895 0 | 13884 -2 | 12498 -1 | 12248 -1 | 13424 -0 | 14148 -1 | 9567 -1 | 8435 0 | 6715 -1 | 4187 -0 | 2 | R |
| 91 | 16857 -0 | 14480 -3 | 12736 -1 | 12606 -1 | 12501 -0 | 14508 -1 | 10275 -1 | 8542 -0 | 6613 -2 | 4574 -1 | 3 | R |
| 92 | 17426 -0 | 14901 -2 | 12982 -1 | 12682 -1 | 11978 0 | 14379 -0 | 11186 -1 | 8558 0 | 6540 -0 | 5081 1 | 2 | R |
| 93 | 17667 -0 | 15215 -1 | 13155 0 | 12572 -0 | 11679 -0 | 14048 -0 | 12119 1 | 8426 0 | 6766 0 | 5495 3 | 3 | R |
| 94 | 17618 -0 | 15616 -1 | 13321 0 | 12318 0 | 11564 -0 | 13611 0 | 12818 1 | 8446 0 | 7206 0 | 5641 2 | 2 | R |
| 95 | 17244 -0 | 16200 -0 | 13491 1 | 12202 0 | 11768 0 | 12700 1 | 13329 0 | 8826 1 | 7498 1 | 5612 2 | 2 | R |
| 96 | 16517 0 | 16865 0 | 13697 1 | 12278 0 | 11991 1 | 11762 1 | 13615 1 | 9452 1 | 7592 2 | 5553 3 | 3 | R |
| Max | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -1 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -0 | 2 | R |
| 84-85 | -1 | -1 | 1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -0 | 2 | R |
| 85-86 | -0 | -1 | 1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -3 | -2 | -1 | 3 | R |
| 86-87 | 1 | -0 | 1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -2 | -3 | -2 | -1 | 3 | R |
| 87-88 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -0 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -1 | 2 | R |
| 88-89 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -0 | 3 | R |
| 89-90 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -0 | 3 | R |
| 90-91 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -1 | 3 | R |
| 91-92 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -4 | -2 | 4 | R |
| 92-93 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -3 | 3 | R |
| 93-94 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -2 | 3 | R |
| 94-95 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | 2 | R |
| 95-96 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| Max | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | |
| MCC = 24: Bremen RU 2: Bremen Center/South/East WOMEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 13334 -3 | 12105 0 | 11405 0 | 14610 -1 | 13516 -2 | 9890 0 | 11448 -1 | 11924 -3 | 8865 -2 | 12213 -0 | 3 | R |
| 84 | 13315 -1 | 12031 0 | 11249 1 | 14022 -1 | 14256 -1 | 9813 1 | 11156 -1 | 12423 -2 | 7908 -1 | 12161 0 | 2 | R |
| 85 | 13240 1 | 11931 1 | 11508 1 | 13150 -0 | 14545 -1 | 10265 1 | 10766 -1 | 12289 -2 | 7846 0 | 11876 0 | 2 | R |
| 86 | 13241 2 | 11887 1 | 11898 1 | 12336 -1 | 14568 -0 | 10919 1 | 10426 -1 | 11769 -1 | 8635 1 | 11159 0 | 2 | R |
| 87 | 13467 2 | 12135 1 | 12098 0 | 11853 -0 | 14371 0 | 11868 1 | 10213 -0 | 11190 0 | 9978 -0 | 9828 0 | 2 | R |
| 88 | 13872 1 | 12602 2 | 12231 -0 | 11542 -0 | 14034 1 | 12986 1 | 10002 -1 | 10862 1 | 11203 -0 | 8395 2 | 2 | R |
| 89 | 14349 0 | 13111 -0 | 12259 -0 | 11549 -1 | 13636 0 | 13820 0 | 10068 -1 | 10656 0 | 11694 -1 | 7601 1 | 1 | R |
| 90 | 14938 -1 | 13593 -1 | 12246 -1 | 12001 -1 | 12962 -0 | 14209 0 | 10593 -2 | 10363 0 | 11569 -1 | 7669 -0 | 2 | R |
| 91 | 15328 -1 | 13921 -2 | 12319 -1 | 12394 -1 | 12208 -0 | 14348 -0 | 11241 -2 | 10107 -0 | 11071 -1 | 8515 -1 | 2 | R |
| 92 | 15621 0 | 14175 -2 | 12567 -1 | 12414 -0 | 11795 0 | 14246 -0 | 11972 -1 | 9945 0 | 10583 0 | 9497 0 | 2 | R |
| 93 | 15888 -0 | 14352 -1 | 12798 1 | 12379 -0 | 11540 -0 | 13878 0 | 12859 1 | 9730 0 | 10353 0 | 10278 3 | 3 | R |
| 94 | 15881 -0 | 14465 -0 | 12961 1 | 12256 0 | 11436 0 | 13399 0 | 13588 1 | 9731 0 | 10158 1 | 10673 3 | 3 | R |
| 95 | 15516 -0 | 14701 1 | 13222 1 | 12116 0 | 11777 0 | 12627 1 | 13902 1 | 10180 1 | 9878 1 | 10566 2 | 2 | R |
| 96 | 14957 0 | 15004 1 | 13490 0 | 12154 -0 | 12094 1 | 11816 1 | 14018 1 | 10802 1 | 9643 2 | 10177 3 | 3 | R |
| Max | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -0 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 84-85 | -1 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 85-86 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 86-87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 87-88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 88-89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| 89-90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | R |
| 90-91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -0 | 2 | R |
| 91-92 | -0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 2 | R |
| 92-93 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| 93-94 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| 94-95 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | 1 | R |
| 95-96 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | R |
| Max | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |