Quality Assessment of Demographic Data in the WHO MONICA Project
Table 4.
Results of modelling of population dynamics.
(see Index for other MCCs)
| MCC = 25: Heidelberg RU 1: Heidelberg City MEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 7743 -1 | 6703 -1 | 4904 -1 | 4797 -0 | 3948 -0 | 2952 -0 | 2876 -1 | 2502 -0 | 1614 -1 | 2024 -0 | 1 | R |
| 84 | 7567 0 | 6658 -0 | 5063 0 | 4709 0 | 4091 0 | 3018 0 | 2875 0 | 2557 -0 | 1537 -0 | 2000 -0 | 0 | R |
| 85 | 7724 -0 | 6721 -0 | 5569 -0 | 4466 1 | 4231 0 | 3170 -0 | 2855 0 | 2558 0 | 1632 0 | 1833 0 | 1 | R |
| 86 | 8059 -1 | 6973 -1 | 5829 -1 | 4414 -0 | 4447 -0 | 3256 0 | 2890 -0 | 2507 0 | 1850 -0 | 1711 -0 | 1 | R |
| 87 | 8258 -1 | 7029 -2 | 5977 -3 | 4577 -3 | 4449 -1 | 3510 -0 | 2876 0 | 2501 1 | 2054 0 | 1502 0 | 3 | R |
| 88 | 8228 1 | 5881 3 | 4752 4 | 3884 3 | 4413 1 | 3793 0 | 2842 0 | 2669 -0 | 2296 -1 | 1365 1 | 4 | R |
| 89 | 8807 -0 | 6240 0 | 4824 1 | 4028 1 | 4398 -0 | 3999 -0 | 2938 0 | 2732 0 | 2317 1 | 1319 1 | 1 | R |
| Max | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -0 | 4 | R |
| 84-85 | -2 | -4 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -2 | -2 | -5 | -1 | 5 | R |
| 85-86 | -2 | -4 | -2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -1 | 4 | R |
| 86-87 | -3 | -5 | -4 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -2 | 5 | R |
| 87-88 | -5 | -12 | -14 | -9 | -3 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -3 | 14 | R |
| 88-89 | 0 | -2 | -4 | -2 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -2 | 4 | R |
| Max | 5 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | |
| MCC = 25: Heidelberg RU 1: Heidelberg City WOMEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 8283 -1 | 6315 -1 | 4337 -0 | 4514 -0 | 3853 -0 | 3165 0 | 3860 -0 | 4241 -0 | 2863 -0 | 3846 0 | 1 | R |
| 84 | 8589 -0 | 6434 0 | 4548 0 | 4486 -0 | 4015 0 | 3185 0 | 3636 0 | 4268 0 | 2743 0 | 3837 0 | 0 | R |
| 85 | 9033 -0 | 6660 0 | 5083 0 | 4182 0 | 4166 0 | 3231 -0 | 3541 0 | 4097 0 | 2997 -0 | 3657 -0 | 0 | R |
| 86 | 9418 -0 | 6955 -0 | 5569 -1 | 3927 0 | 4346 -0 | 3362 -0 | 3443 -0 | 3879 0 | 3380 -0 | 3351 -0 | 1 | R |
| 87 | 9560 -2 | 7331 -4 | 5852 -3 | 4047 -2 | 4399 -0 | 3491 0 | 3320 -0 | 3751 0 | 3727 0 | 2973 -0 | 4 | R |
| 88 | 8446 2 | 5602 4 | 4621 4 | 3698 2 | 4310 1 | 3835 0 | 3090 0 | 3713 -0 | 4023 -0 | 2613 0 | 4 | R |
| 89 | 8943 -0 | 5982 1 | 4786 1 | 3828 1 | 4251 -0 | 4037 -0 | 3176 -0 | 3552 0 | 4071 0 | 2471 1 | 1 | R |
| Max | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -3 | -3 | -1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -1 | -2 | 0 | 3 | R |
| 84-85 | -5 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | 1 | 5 | R |
| 85-86 | -4 | -2 | 0 | -0 | 0 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -2 | -0 | 4 | R |
| 86-87 | -5 | -5 | -2 | 1 | -0 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -2 | -1 | 5 | R |
| 87-88 | -11 | -19 | -15 | -8 | -2 | 0 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -3 | 19 | R |
| 88-89 | -0 | -5 | -3 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -3 | 5 | R |
| Max | 11 | 19 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | |
| MCC = 25: Heidelberg RU 4: Rhein-Neckar Region MEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 18114 0 | 17344 -0 | 16100 -1 | 19525 -0 | 18204 -0 | 14139 -1 | 12351 -2 | 10173 -3 | . . | . . | 3 | R |
| 84 | 18587 1 | 17233 0 | 16078 0 | 18685 -0 | 19210 -1 | 14353 -1 | 13066 -1 | 10407 -2 | . . | . . | 2 | R |
| 85 | 19194 0 | 17342 -0 | 16950 -0 | 16849 0 | 19682 0 | 14809 -0 | 13489 -0 | 10542 0 | . . | . . | 0 | R |
| 86 | 19738 -1 | 17796 -1 | 17506 -1 | 15674 1 | 19989 0 | 15615 0 | 13752 -0 | 10606 -1 | 7256 -2 | 6006 1 | 2 | R |
| 87 | 19588 1 | 17237 2 | 17364 1 | 15500 0 | 20042 0 | 16357 1 | 13723 1 | 10859 1 | 7650 2 | 5756 -1 | 2 | C |
| 88 | 20639 0 | 18373 -0 | 17048 1 | 15771 0 | 19230 0 | 17947 -0 | 13509 1 | 11565 0 | 9061 2 | 4719 -0 | 2 | R |
| 89 | 21618 -1 | 19436 -2 | 17230 -0 | 15976 0 | 18594 -0 | 18755 0 | 13911 0 | 12216 1 | 9341 3 | 4637 2 | 3 | R |
| Max | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 0 | 1 | R |
| 84-85 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -0 | 0 | 2 | R |
| 85-86 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | R |
| 86-87 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 0 | 2 | R |
| 87-88 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | C |
| 88-89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 1 | R |
| Max | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| MCC = 25: Heidelberg RU 4: Rhein-Neckar Region WOMEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 17898 -0 | 18054 -1 | 15880 -1 | 18399 -1 | 17228 -1 | 13566 -1 | 13966 -1 | 14264 -3 | . . | . . | 3 | R |
| 84 | 18561 1 | 17712 -1 | 16145 -1 | 17730 -1 | 17929 -1 | 13853 -1 | 13952 -1 | 14632 -2 | . . | . . | 2 | R |
| 85 | 19007 0 | 17524 -0 | 17179 -0 | 16092 0 | 18683 -0 | 14328 -0 | 13835 -0 | 14386 0 | . . | . . | 0 | R |
| 86 | 19750 -1 | 17575 -1 | 17899 -1 | 15195 0 | 18982 -0 | 15136 -1 | 13686 -0 | 14007 -0 | 10995 -2 | 10359 1 | 2 | R |
| 87 | 19321 1 | 17135 2 | 17407 2 | 15059 1 | 18681 1 | 15280 2 | 13632 1 | 13831 1 | 11422 2 | 9897 -1 | 2 | C |
| 88 | 20306 -0 | 17829 0 | 17494 1 | 15390 1 | 18066 1 | 16838 1 | 13305 1 | 13622 0 | 13601 1 | 7973 0 | 1 | R |
| 89 | 20859 -0 | 18972 -1 | 17409 0 | 15855 1 | 17519 -0 | 17727 0 | 13592 1 | 13599 1 | 14019 2 | 7750 1 | 2 | R |
| Max | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | 0 | R |
| 84-85 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | 0 | R |
| 85-86 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | 0 | R |
| 86-87 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | 0 | R |
| 87-88 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | C |
| 88-89 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | R |
| Max | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |