Quality Assessment of Demographic Data in the WHO MONICA Project
Table 4.
Results of modelling of population dynamics.
(see Index for other MCCs)
| MCC = 27: HUN-MONICA RU 1: Budapest MEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 82 | 12168 0 | 10868 1 | 9575 0 | 8044 1 | 7373 -0 | 7505 -0 | 7258 -2 | 5378 -1 | 4503 -2 | 4135 0 | 2 | E |
| 83 | 11735 0 | 11476 -0 | 9885 -0 | 8636 0 | 7262 -0 | 7482 0 | 7139 -1 | 5907 0 | 3932 -1 | 4230 -0 | 1 | E |
| 84 | 10941 1 | 12256 -0 | 10175 -0 | 9232 -0 | 7220 -0 | 7533 0 | 7057 -0 | 6188 1 | 3584 -1 | 4298 -0 | 1 | E |
| 85 | 10279 -1 | 12742 -1 | 10669 -0 | 9562 -0 | 7339 -0 | 7430 -0 | 7084 -1 | 6202 -0 | 3677 -1 | 4213 0 | 1 | E |
| 86 | 9771 -1 | 12787 -1 | 11109 -1 | 9558 -0 | 7688 -1 | 7178 -0 | 7068 -1 | 6136 -0 | 4066 -1 | 3879 0 | 1 | E |
| 87 | 9277 -1 | 12504 -1 | 11129 -1 | 9660 -0 | 8137 -1 | 6953 0 | 6948 -1 | 6059 0 | 4495 -1 | 3457 2 | 2 | E |
| 88 | 8928 -0 | 11822 -1 | 11276 -0 | 9786 -0 | 8543 -1 | 6791 -0 | 6903 -1 | 5976 -0 | 4921 -1 | 3029 1 | 1 | E |
| 89 | 8748 -1 | 10714 -2 | 11678 -1 | 9828 -1 | 8881 -1 | 6705 -1 | 6912 -2 | 5926 -1 | 5150 -2 | 2771 0 | 2 | E |
| 90 | 7855 1 | 8854 2 | 11101 2 | 9556 1 | 8617 1 | 6516 1 | 6428 1 | 5517 2 | 4748 1 | 2705 2 | 2 | C |
| 91 | 8014 0 | 8350 1 | 11014 1 | 9619 1 | 8631 0 | 6694 1 | 6205 0 | 5547 1 | 4641 1 | 2985 1 | 1 | E |
| 92 | 8321 -0 | 8045 1 | 10723 1 | 9573 1 | 8676 1 | 7034 1 | 6024 1 | 5502 2 | 4520 3 | 3264 3 | 3 | R |
| Max | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 82-83 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0 | -3 | -2 | -4 | 0 | 4 | E |
| 83-84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0 | -4 | -2 | -5 | -1 | 5 | E |
| 84-85 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0 | -3 | -2 | -6 | -2 | 6 | E |
| 85-86 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -3 | -6 | -3 | 6 | E |
| 86-87 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -4 | -6 | -4 | 6 | E |
| 87-88 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -4 | -6 | -3 | 6 | E |
| 88-89 | -2 | -3 | -3 | -2 | -3 | -2 | -4 | -5 | -6 | -3 | 6 | E |
| 89-90 | -3 | -6 | -5 | -4 | -4 | -4 | -5 | -7 | -8 | -5 | 8 | E |
| 90-91 | -1 | -3 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -3 | -5 | -5 | -4 | 5 | C |
| 91-92 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -3 | -4 | -4 | 4 | E |
| Max | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | |
| MCC = 27: HUN-MONICA RU 1: Budapest WOMEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 82 | 10991 1 | 10386 1 | 9105 0 | 7967 0 | 7612 0 | 8356 -0 | 8493 -1 | 7360 -1 | 6409 -2 | 6698 0 | 2 | E |
| 83 | 10683 1 | 10824 -0 | 9427 0 | 8299 -0 | 7485 0 | 8254 -0 | 8342 -0 | 8125 0 | 5655 -1 | 6839 -0 | 1 | E |
| 84 | 9982 1 | 11407 -0 | 9758 0 | 8600 -0 | 7449 -0 | 8077 -0 | 8312 -0 | 8460 0 | 5212 -0 | 6871 -0 | 1 | E |
| 85 | 9240 -1 | 11825 -1 | 10140 -0 | 8856 0 | 7508 0 | 7868 -0 | 8311 0 | 8390 -0 | 5393 -1 | 6692 0 | 1 | E |
| 86 | 8778 -1 | 11945 -1 | 10588 -1 | 9047 0 | 7697 0 | 7708 -0 | 8205 0 | 8256 -0 | 6086 -1 | 6207 0 | 1 | E |
| 87 | 8556 -1 | 11800 -1 | 10759 -1 | 9289 0 | 8018 -0 | 7594 -0 | 8075 -0 | 8126 -0 | 6898 -1 | 5548 2 | 2 | E |
| 88 | 8375 -0 | 11247 -1 | 10944 -0 | 9666 -1 | 8359 -0 | 7483 -1 | 7978 -0 | 8036 -1 | 7586 -1 | 4936 1 | 1 | E |
| 89 | 8389 -2 | 10325 -3 | 11426 -2 | 10005 -2 | 8685 -1 | 7472 -1 | 7849 -1 | 8027 -1 | 7879 -2 | 4631 -0 | 3 | E |
| 90 | 7377 2 | 8333 3 | 10969 2 | 9686 2 | 8762 1 | 7348 1 | 7347 1 | 7783 1 | 7392 2 | 4531 2 | 3 | C |
| 91 | 7718 0 | 7836 1 | 10996 1 | 9927 1 | 8975 0 | 7483 0 | 7229 1 | 7629 1 | 7391 1 | 5063 2 | 2 | E |
| 92 | 8226 -1 | 7546 1 | 10709 1 | 10068 0 | 9129 0 | 7760 0 | 7113 1 | 7437 1 | 7319 1 | 5691 3 | 3 | R |
| Max | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 82-83 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | 0 | 2 | E |
| 83-84 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -0 | 3 | E |
| 84-85 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -3 | -1 | 3 | E |
| 85-86 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -2 | 3 | E |
| 86-87 | -0 | 0 | -0 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -2 | 3 | E |
| 87-88 | -2 | -0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -4 | -1 | 4 | E |
| 88-89 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -2 | 3 | E |
| 89-90 | -3 | -4 | -3 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -4 | -3 | 4 | E |
| 90-91 | -1 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -3 | 3 | C |
| 91-92 | 0 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | 2 | E |
| Max | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | |
| MCC = 27: HUN-MONICA RU 2: Pecs MEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 82 | 9027 0 | 7532 0 | 7007 -0 | 6821 0 | 6531 -0 | 6542 0 | 5495 -1 | 3783 -1 | 3217 -1 | 2835 0 | 1 | E |
| 83 | 9150 -0 | 7605 0 | 7079 -0 | 6821 0 | 6511 -0 | 6522 0 | 5628 -1 | 4133 1 | 2899 -1 | 2874 0 | 1 | E |
| 84 | 9169 0 | 7977 -0 | 7160 -0 | 6853 -0 | 6538 -0 | 6465 -0 | 5810 -0 | 4342 0 | 2743 0 | 2903 -0 | 0 | E |
| 85 | 9070 -0 | 8402 0 | 7278 0 | 6864 0 | 6556 0 | 6365 0 | 5891 -0 | 4387 1 | 2872 -1 | 2826 -0 | 1 | E |
| 86 | 9017 0 | 8839 -0 | 7505 -0 | 6814 0 | 6624 0 | 6300 0 | 5894 -0 | 4413 0 | 3216 -3 | 2641 -0 | 3 | E |
| 87 | 9003 -0 | 9214 0 | 7713 -0 | 6935 -0 | 6772 -0 | 6198 1 | 5840 -0 | 4464 2 | 2753 5 | 2321 2 | 5 | E |
| 88 | 9016 -0 | 9241 0 | 7802 -0 | 6953 -0 | 6767 -0 | 6253 -0 | 5966 -1 | 4598 -0 | 4044 -4 | 2102 0 | 4 | E |
| 89 | 8977 -3 | 9488 -3 | 8126 -2 | 7029 -1 | 6784 -1 | 6298 -1 | 5917 -1 | 4736 -0 | 3994 -1 | 2073 0 | 3 | E |
| 90 | 6844 3 | 7723 2 | 7722 1 | 6674 1 | 6403 1 | 6093 1 | 5753 0 | 4657 1 | 3963 0 | 2159 1 | 3 | C |
| 91 | 6735 1 | 7410 0 | 7963 0 | 6831 0 | 6321 0 | 6097 0 | 5692 0 | 4690 0 | 3960 -0 | 2411 1 | 1 | E |
| 92 | 6960 -1 | 7096 1 | 8152 -0 | 6848 0 | 6294 0 | 6105 0 | 5620 0 | 4727 1 | 3959 1 | 2668 0 | 1 | R |
| Max | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 82-83 | 0 | 0 | -0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | -3 | -7 | -4 | 0 | 7 | E |
| 83-84 | -0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -6 | 1 | -8 | -1 | 8 | E |
| 84-85 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -2 | -0 | -6 | -0 | -6 | -2 | 6 | E |
| 85-86 | -0 | 1 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -0 | -6 | -1 | -6 | -4 | 6 | E |
| 86-87 | -0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -6 | -3 | -15 | -7 | 15 | E |
| 87-88 | -3 | 1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | -3 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 7 | E |
| 88-89 | -2 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -4 | -3 | -4 | -4 | 4 | E |
| 89-90 | -12 | -11 | -7 | -5 | -4 | -4 | -5 | -6 | -4 | -6 | 12 | E |
| 90-91 | -2 | -4 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -5 | -2 | -5 | 5 | C |
| 91-92 | 2 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -4 | -3 | -1 | 4 | E |
| Max | 12 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 15 | |
| MCC = 27: HUN-MONICA RU 2: Pecs WOMEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 82 | 9104 -0 | 8123 0 | 7371 -0 | 7335 0 | 7006 -0 | 6812 0 | 6568 -1 | 4915 1 | 4446 -1 | 4568 -0 | 1 | E |
| 83 | 9021 -0 | 8192 0 | 7475 -0 | 7415 0 | 7036 -0 | 6789 1 | 6575 0 | 5444 -2 | 3990 -0 | 4667 1 | 2 | E |
| 84 | 8810 -0 | 8436 -0 | 7614 -0 | 7475 -0 | 7058 -0 | 6734 0 | 6678 -1 | 5705 1 | 3784 0 | 4685 -0 | 1 | E |
| 85 | 8622 0 | 8701 0 | 7795 0 | 7451 0 | 7130 0 | 6749 0 | 6719 -1 | 5743 1 | 3977 -0 | 4551 0 | 1 | E |
| 86 | 8629 0 | 8910 0 | 8082 -0 | 7369 -0 | 7253 -0 | 6819 0 | 6676 -0 | 5808 0 | 4445 -1 | 4226 0 | 1 | E |
| 87 | 8732 -1 | 9104 0 | 8207 0 | 7217 1 | 7418 -0 | 6903 0 | 6725 -1 | 5707 1 | 4722 -2 | 4147 -1 | 2 | E |
| 88 | 8893 -1 | 9103 -0 | 8393 -0 | 7572 -0 | 7579 -0 | 7018 -0 | 6727 -0 | 5824 1 | 4224 5 | 3315 3 | 5 | E |
| 89 | 8948 -3 | 8940 -2 | 8592 -1 | 7746 -1 | 7572 -1 | 7025 -0 | 6702 -1 | 5952 -0 | 5800 -3 | 3396 -1 | 3 | E |
| 90 | 6835 3 | 7749 2 | 8218 1 | 7513 1 | 7299 1 | 6934 0 | 6523 0 | 5794 1 | 5753 -1 | 3525 0 | 3 | C |
| 91 | 6834 1 | 7419 0 | 8313 0 | 7722 0 | 7200 0 | 7023 0 | 6572 -0 | 5759 1 | 5742 -0 | 3917 1 | 1 | E |
| 92 | 7062 -1 | 7113 1 | 8348 0 | 7806 0 | 7170 -0 | 7111 0 | 6615 0 | 5780 1 | 5675 -0 | 4406 0 | 1 | R |
| Max | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 82-83 | -0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | -4 | 3 | -1 | -1 | 4 | E |
| 83-84 | -0 | 1 | -0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | -2 | -5 | -3 | 1 | 5 | E |
| 84-85 | -1 | -0 | -1 | 0 | -2 | 2 | -4 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 4 | E |
| 85-86 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | -4 | 0 | -1 | -1 | 4 | E |
| 86-87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -1 | -4 | -1 | 4 | E |
| 87-88 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -1 | -10 | -6 | 10 | E |
| 88-89 | -2 | -1 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -0 | -2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 9 | E |
| 89-90 | -10 | -7 | -5 | -3 | -2 | -2 | -4 | -4 | 0 | -3 | 10 | E |
| 90-91 | -1 | -4 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -0 | -2 | 4 | C |
| 91-92 | 1 | -3 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | 0 | -0 | 3 | E |
| Max | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 10 | |