Quality Assessment of Demographic Data in the WHO MONICA Project
Table 4.
Results of modelling of population dynamics.
(see Index for other MCCs)
| MCC = 34: Belfast RU 1: Belfast MEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 17092 -0 | 15234 0 | 14376 -1 | 12887 -1 | 12175 -0 | 12044 -0 | 12328 -2 | 11180 -1 | 9809 -3 | 7811 -0 | 3 | E |
| 84 | 17722 0 | 15431 0 | 14361 -0 | 13093 -1 | 12100 1 | 11729 0 | 11910 -1 | 11058 -0 | 9615 -1 | 7775 0 | 1 | E |
| 85 | 18174 1 | 15814 1 | 14507 -0 | 13260 1 | 12188 2 | 11631 1 | 11638 -1 | 10889 -1 | 9474 -1 | 7624 0 | 2 | E |
| 86 | 18639 -0 | 16292 -1 | 14776 -0 | 13489 1 | 12364 -1 | 12135 -1 | 11471 0 | 10740 2 | 9400 0 | 7505 -0 | 2 | E |
| 87 | 18945 -1 | 16706 -1 | 15030 -0 | 13685 0 | 12510 -1 | 12451 -1 | 11407 -0 | 10605 1 | 9279 -1 | 7414 0 | 1 | E |
| 88 | 19001 -1 | 16951 -1 | 15193 -0 | 13784 1 | 12542 -0 | 12563 -1 | 11328 0 | 10383 1 | 9060 -1 | 7249 2 | 2 | E |
| 89 | 19063 -0 | 17212 -0 | 15421 -0 | 13941 0 | 12639 1 | 12633 -1 | 11340 -0 | 10238 1 | 8875 0 | 7145 1 | 1 | E |
| 90 | 19119 -1 | 17487 -1 | 15703 -2 | 14161 -0 | 13604 -2 | 12696 -2 | 11398 -1 | 10168 2 | 8716 2 | 7008 2 | 2 | E |
| 91 | 17923 0 | 16694 1 | 14321 2 | 14080 1 | 13640 -0 | 11541 1 | 11002 1 | 10869 -1 | 10283 -3 | 7718 -1 | 3 | C |
| 92 | 17923 0 | 16694 1 | 14321 1 | 14080 0 | 13640 -0 | 11541 0 | 11002 1 | 10869 -0 | 10283 -1 | 7718 1 | 1 | O |
| 93 | 17923 -0 | 16694 1 | 14321 1 | 14080 0 | 13640 0 | 11541 1 | 11002 1 | 10869 -0 | 10283 0 | 7718 2 | 2 | O |
| Max | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -2 | -0 | -0 | -2 | -2 | -4 | -0 | 4 | E |
| 84-85 | -0 | 1 | -1 | -2 | 1 | -0 | -3 | -3 | -6 | -1 | 6 | E |
| 85-86 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1 | 3 | 1 | -4 | -5 | -7 | -2 | 7 | E |
| 86-87 | 0 | -0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | -0 | -3 | -2 | -6 | -4 | 6 | E |
| 87-88 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 0 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -6 | -5 | 6 | E |
| 88-89 | -2 | -3 | -1 | 1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -6 | -3 | 6 | E |
| 89-90 | -2 | -3 | -1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1 | -0 | -3 | -3 | 3 | E |
| 90-91 | -2 | -4 | -4 | -1 | -1 | -4 | -3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 4 | E |
| 91-92 | -1 | -3 | -3 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -2 | 0 | -1 | -3 | 3 | C |
| 92-93 | -0 | -2 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -2 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -3 | 3 | O |
| Max | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | |
| MCC = 34: Belfast RU 1: Belfast WOMEN | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported population size and residuals (%) of the fitted model (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83 | 17075 -0 | 15379 0 | 14747 -1 | 13578 -1 | 13272 -0 | 13854 -0 | 14608 -2 | 13951 -1 | 13302 -2 | 12411 -0 | 2 | E |
| 84 | 17895 0 | 15533 1 | 14712 -0 | 13735 0 | 13120 0 | 13398 -0 | 14202 -1 | 13838 -1 | 13068 -1 | 12254 0 | 1 | E |
| 85 | 18399 0 | 15940 1 | 14815 -0 | 13859 0 | 13145 1 | 13220 -0 | 13865 -2 | 13675 -1 | 12917 -1 | 11963 0 | 2 | E |
| 86 | 18882 0 | 16454 -2 | 15056 -0 | 14051 1 | 13275 -1 | 13162 -1 | 13645 0 | 13553 2 | 12847 -1 | 11793 -0 | 2 | E |
| 87 | 19174 -0 | 16893 -2 | 15296 -0 | 14201 1 | 13373 -1 | 13100 -0 | 13407 0 | 13381 1 | 12718 -1 | 11609 0 | 2 | E |
| 88 | 19201 -1 | 17162 -2 | 15454 -0 | 14263 1 | 13374 -1 | 12951 0 | 13091 1 | 13071 2 | 12456 -1 | 11351 2 | 2 | E |
| 89 | 19208 -0 | 17435 -0 | 15682 -1 | 14386 0 | 13422 -0 | 12878 -0 | 12874 0 | 12818 1 | 12238 1 | 11178 1 | 1 | E |
| 90 | 19206 0 | 17707 -0 | 15970 -1 | 14571 0 | 13538 0 | 12876 -1 | 12723 0 | 12596 2 | 12041 2 | 11015 1 | 2 | E |
| 91 | 19771 -0 | 18044 -0 | 14699 2 | 14858 0 | 14253 -1 | 12373 1 | 12535 1 | 13386 -0 | 13281 -2 | 11162 1 | 2 | C |
| 92 | 19771 -0 | 18044 0 | 14699 2 | 14858 0 | 14253 -1 | 12373 1 | 12535 0 | 13386 -0 | 13281 -1 | 11162 1 | 2 | O |
| 93 | 19771 0 | 18044 1 | 14699 3 | 14858 0 | 14253 0 | 12373 2 | 12535 0 | 13386 -1 | 13281 -0 | 11162 2 | 3 | O |
| Max | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| The estimated net migration rate (%) (see section 6.1) | ||||||||||||
| Year | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 | 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70-74 | Max | Source |
| 83-84 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -0 | 2 | E |
| 84-85 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -0 | 2 | E |
| 85-86 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0 | 0 | -0 | -3 | -2 | -3 | -1 | 3 | E |
| 86-87 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -1 | -3 | -2 | 3 | E |
| 87-88 | -0 | -2 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -4 | -2 | 4 | E |
| 88-89 | -1 | -3 | -0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -3 | -2 | 3 | E |
| 89-90 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | 0 | -2 | -2 | 2 | E |
| 90-91 | -0 | -2 | -3 | 0 | -0 | -2 | -0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 3 | E |
| 91-92 | -0 | -2 | -2 | -0 | -0 | -1 | -0 | 1 | -0 | -2 | 2 | C |
| 92-93 | -0 | -1 | -1 | -0 | -0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -1 | 1 | O |
| Max | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |